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Taxing Times Ahead For EU

Brendan Lynch reports.

 

And this process of economic and political integration is now set to go further with the proposed Treaty that is currently being drafted in the European Convention (see page 16). Irish corporate tax rates could ultimately be affected.
When Ireland joined the EEC (as it then was), there were two big economic policies: the Common Agricultural Policy and the common fisheries policy.
In addition, there was a customs tariff free zone. Today, there are many more common policies, which have had, and are having, a huge impact on the Irish economy. The main big policies introduced in the 1980s and 1990s were:


EU structural funds to increase the growth rate of
disadvantaged regions
The single market for goods and services in the EU
Free movement of workers throughout the EU,
including recognition of other states' qualifications
EU competition policy
Co-ordination and harmonisation of employment and social policies (not that far advanced)
Monetary union
Strict limits on national budget deficits (the stability and growth pact)
Moderate amount of coordination of economic and fiscal policies through two EU laws (the Stability Programmes and the Broad Economic Policy Guidelines).


Monetary union and the associated budget deficit rules and close monitoring of fiscal policy make a big difference to the Irish economy. In the last few years, it has undoubtedly given us much lower interest rates than we would have otherwise had and this contributed to the exceptional scale of the economic boom (and to high house prices). The Irish government's room for policy manoeuvre has been greatly restricted.
But the single market has also had a huge impact. Many companies like Ryanair would not exist today if it wasn't for the rules of the single market, which ensure that companies in almost all sectors of a member state economy are free to compete in other member states on equal terms with companies based in those states.


The European Convention is pursuing two broad themes as regards economic policy. It is considering whether, and possibly how, to re-organise or to legislate for existing areas of policy coordination, which in the opinion of some commentators could be improved. Therefore, the convention working group on "economic governance" in the EU is examining existing procedures like the Broad Economic Policy Guidelines (BEPG) and the procedures and policy objectives of the European Central Bank (ECB).


The main area that is proposed for further change and/or policy integration at present is fiscal policy, including corporation tax. The EU Commission has proposed that there should be some relaxation of the Stability and Growth Pact, which restricts individual states' scope to have budget deficits. At present, member states (those that participate in monetary union) must aim for a balanced budget over the medium term and must never have a budget deficit more than 3% of GDP. The main proposal is that member states with relatively low national debts (like Ireland) would not have to aim for a balanced budget for a period of years. This would have the aggregate effect of giving more fiscal stimulus to the European economy.


There is a very strong political current to have greater coordination of taxation policies and, especially, corporate taxes, mainly to stop individual states from having excessively low corporate taxes. Most member states support such a change, especially in view of the forthcoming enlargement to 25 states. To allow greater coordination of corporate taxes, the current argument is to abandon the unanimity requirement on taxation matters in the EU Council of Ministers and instead have qualified majority voting. The Irish Government strongly opposes this and is currently supported by the UK and one or two other states. The Irish Government fears losing some of the multinationals in Ireland if it is forced to increase the corporate tax rate, even though it would get more tax revenue.


There is a greater level of disagreement concerning "economic governance" than in most subject areas in the European Convention. It appears that the Convention is shaping up for a big bargaining process. Inevitably, many strongly held positions will have to be compromised in the process and it is not at all clear that the Irish Government will succeed in maintaining unanimity on taxation matters or avoid some process of harmonisation of corporate taxation.

 

01:30 Sun 5 Feb 2012
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