In a second nationwide poll of adults in Ireland (run between 5th and 11th March) and their expectations of a new Government, there has been a significant shift in expectations of a new Government, since the first wave run shortly after the General Election in February (poll ran between the 13th and 18th of February).
Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil & the Green Party are the preferred option for 32% of all adults up from 23% in February, while 45% of respondents believe they will form the new coalition (up from 23% in February)
The iReach survey shows that 49% all adults in Ireland believe Micheál Martin will be the next Taoiseach with Leo Varadkar as the next Tánaiste (23%). Despite 45% of respondents believing that Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil and the Green Party will likely form the next government, 17% believe that all parties will fail to agree on a stable formation of the 33rd Dáil and therefore another general election will be called (down from 23% in February.
Nationwide 32% (down from 46% in February) said they believed Sinn Féin would lead the next Government whilst working alongside other Coalition parties to form a majority.
Almost half (49%) of respondents think Micheál Martin will be the next Taoiseach. This figure is significantly higher in Munster (57%). Thirty four percent of respondents believe Mary Lou McDonald will be the next Taoiseach (43% in Connacht/ Ulster).
Only 6% of respondents believe Leo Varadkar will remain as Taoiseach, however, 23% of respondents believe Varadkar will become the next Tánaiste. Nineteen percent of respondents believe Mary Lou McDonald will be the next Tánaiste. Eighteen percent believe it will be Micheál Martin shortly followed by the 17% that believe it will be Eamon Ryan.